Gas production is decreasing every day, Petrobangla is worried
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Photo: Collected
Domestic gas production is decreasing every day, production in January has decreased by 19 million cubic feet. On January 1, the total production was 1929 million cubic feet, on January 30, it decreased to 1911 million which was 1968 million on November 1.
On January 1, 2020, Bangladesh Gas Field Company extracted 708 million cubic feet of gas, and on January 30, 2025, the company's production decreased to 499 million. At the same time, the supply from 4 gas fields under multinational companies was 1656 million, which decreased to 1161 million on January 30. On the other hand, the demand for gas is increasing at a geometric rate. This is further widening the huge gap between demand and supply.
Along with this trend of decreasing production, there is a fear of a major disaster. The largest source, Bibiana, may face a major shortage any day as its reserves decrease. Because there are many examples, including Bangura, of sudden closure due to decreasing reserves. The Bibiana gas field produced 972 million cubic feet per day of 1911 million cubic feet per day. The gas field's reserves may run out by 2026. If the fears are true, the domestic gas supply will decrease by 1,000 million cubic feet.
No information is given openly by any party about the reserves of Bibiana. According to Petrobangla's latest annual report (2022-23), the remaining reserves in July 2023 were shown as 134 BCF. Then it was said that Bibiana's reserves could increase by 1 TCF. Since then, 19 months (577 days) have passed. With an average of 1 BCF of gas being extracted daily, the remaining reserves have fallen below 550. In simple terms, it is supposed to last for 550 days. But in the case of gas, that is never possible, water and sand can suddenly come in and stop production.
There is a lot of deficiency in the kind of preparation that needs to be made to meet the deficit. The delay in approving the DPP by the Ministry and the Planning Department, along with Petrobangla's inadequate preparation, is acting as one of the main obstacles to rapid action. Now there is no more time to formulate the DPP and work. It takes at least 2 years to approve the DPP of a well. Now the water has reached the nose, the nose can sink at any time. Now that time will not be available.
As an alternative, many have recommended some small initiatives with their own funding by approving the boards of the companies. They said that there are some wells like Rashidpur-7, Kailashtila-7 that can increase the production of at least 30 million gas with a minor renovation (work over).
Only 5 million gas is being extracted from the lower zone of the Rashidpur-7 well. There is a huge amount of gas reserves in the middle layer of the well. It is possible to extract more than 15 million gas daily from the middle layer (2700 meters) by working over the well. On the other hand, the Kailashtila-7 well has been closed for a year. Gas has been extracted from the lower layer of that well, and reserves are in the upper layer. To extract gas from the upper layer, a workover will have to be done. The work over of the two wells can be completed within 5 to 6 months with its own financing without doing a DPP. The Sylhet Gas Field Company is capable of financing the workover itself. For this, energy experts have given their opinion in favor of taking immediate action subject to approval by their board. They said that there are many other pockets. There is ample opportunity to increase production if touched.
International company Schlumberger conducted a study on domestic gas fields. The report submitted in 2011 said that there is an opportunity to increase gas production by 400 to 800 MMCFD by renovating the existing gas fields. It could cost a maximum of 125 million US dollars. A decade later, Petrobangla started some work on that report. Those concerned believe that if these works could have been done, this dire situation would have been avoided.
Today's gas crisis is the result of the shortsightedness of the previous governments. This situation is due to the lack of proper attention to the country's oil and gas exploration. Energy expert Maqbool-e-Elahi Chowdhury commented that no other government has played a proper role in this sector except the Sheikh Mujibur Rahman government.
The country's gas sector is on the verge of collapse, and the crisis may take a more serious shape, especially by 2026. Many are seeing the threat of a major disaster. Energy experts consider increasing LNG imports to be a dangerous alternative. Skyrocketing prices are an obstacle, and there is no scope to increase the import volume as desired. It is possible to import a maximum of 900 million per day with two FSRUs. If a new FSRU is to be built, it will take at least 18 months after the tender is finalized. That is, there is no way to increase LNG imports until 2026, even if the price issue is excluded.
Petrobangla sources said that the average price of gas produced in the country is around 6.07 taka. In the 2023-24 fiscal year, one-fourth of the gas was imported, and the average price has reached Tk. 24.38. When it is difficult to import one-third, the reserves of domestic gas fields are running out, which is constantly reducing production.
Energy expert Dr. Ijaz Hossain told Barta24.com that production is decreasing due to the reduction in the reserves of our domestic gas fields. If we want to maintain the current production capacity of 2000 million cubic feet, then at least 10 exploration wells will have to be drilled per year. We support LNG imports, but it must be limited. If we want to provide uninterrupted power supply, the import cost in this sector will stand at $24 billion. Which is very complicated for our economy.
Energy expert Maqbool-e-Elahi Chowdhury told Barta24.com that drilling new wells very quickly, replacing old ones. The wells have been renovated to increase production and Bibiana well is producing up to 70 million, while Rashidpur and Titas gas field wells are providing much less (10 to 25 million) supply. Attention needs to be paid there too.
He said that 3,000 million cubic feet of gas is being supplied daily, of which about 10 percent is being lost in the system, that is, about 300 million cubic feet of gas is being stolen. Although some technical losses are normal, 10 percent is not acceptable in any way. A maximum of 2 percent system loss can be considered.
CAB Senior Vice President and Energy Adviser Dr. M Shamsul Alam told Barta24.com that warnings have been issued about Bibiana for a long time. Its production may collapse by 2026. But those warnings were not heeded. Several urgent works that needed to be done were not done. There is 1 TCF of gas in Chatak, and gas needs to be brought from there.
Petrobangla Chairman Rezanur Rahman told Barta24.com, "We have started work on the potential wells Rashidpur-7, Kailashtila-7 and Sylhet-9. To avoid delays, it has been decided to do it with the company's financing instead of DPP. The rig has already left for Kailashtila-7. We expect at least 10 million cubic meters of gas to be added from each well."